Depends a lot on your configuration as well, such as color, wheels, and interior. For example, Touring comes standard with 20" wheels, however, because they're delayed until July, and Grand Touring holders will have priority delaying Touring orders with these wheels more. I see Touring orders to start confirming in June timeframe and begin deliveries in late July to early August for those with Touring reservations made in 2020. For those with 2022 orders, it'll likely be first half of 2023. Not two years.
Word to the wise: People on the Facebook group and Twitter will tell you their pessimistic views that are almost always based on ignorance.