Or reality? Midsize may have more ramp up issues , considering the higher volumes that are expected and the history of Lucid delays.
Reality is the present. You’re attempting to predict the
far future, and operating with
extremely imperfect information
.
That’s not reality; it’s guessing. You would be equally likely to be correct by playing Roulette. It is simply much too far out to make any reasonable guesses, and past performance is not a good indicator of something that far out.
So no, you’re not being realistic. You’re being cynical.
Reality is
we have no idea.
If we say everything is rosy, when it’s not, leads to more complacency.
I never said that. But optimism is
at least as accurate as cynicism.
And the reality is both are probably wrong.
Better to have poor expectations and be surprised.
Is it? You can certainly go through life being as cynical as possible, constantly being surprised when things go well… but consider, perhaps, that cynicism is a false comfort.
Cynicism can feel nice because it makes you think you know something others don’t, and the regular comfort is “but then I won’t be let down.”
That’s true, of course — but the corollary is that you will also never actually look forward to anything. Instead, you will swing back and forth between the extremes of being curmudgeonly and being “surprised it went right,” and when your cynicism is correct on occasion, you’ll get to cynically say “I was right all along,” without acknowledging all the times your cynicism led you to being unhappy while everyone else was excited for what’s to come.
That’s your choice, of course; but consider that being the cynic doesn’t win you friends or make you popular.
You do you. I’ll choose optimism over cynicism, since both are equally accurate given imperfect information.