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Raging BUY at $2.26?

I think I'm overexposed.

Now if they hurry up and bring out mid sized I might lease one too to make certain I'm totally screwed if they go belly up.
 
Blue Lectroid said:
Not sure I understand your point. I hope that he IS still being paid $120k per month AND getting additional stock options. That makes me MORE inclined to continued buying shares...
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I bought LCID years ago just to support a company that aligned with my values.
Happy accident it went to over $50/share a few months later, so I sold. It's better to be lucky than smart.
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Dollar-cost-averaging with Vanguard Index 500 ,for decades, gave me enough security to play the market with "fun " money.

Slow and steady wins the race.
 
If it makes those feel better, the 13F filings indicated a $970MM share purchase at $2.59, either Blackrock or Saudi PIF:)
 
Wonder what the PIF's average price per share is? It would make me feel better if I was lower than that.
 
illopp00 said:
If it makes those feel better, the 13F filings indicated a $970MM share purchase at $2.59, either Blackrock or Saudi PIF:)
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That's the burning question. If it's Blackrock...dayum that's a statement. Alas, it is probably PIF.
 
Analysts have different methods of evaluating stocks and different opinions of company viability. Reading their reasoning is much more important than the values they assign to a stock. While we may not give as much weight to their reasons for price downgrades as they do, we can not deny their negative reasonings are based real concerns.

BoA is concerned that Peter's leaving may cause other members of the team to leave.

Redburn Atlantic is concerned that profitability is dependent on a quick ramp up of the mid-sized SUV in 2H2026. They have not seen quick ramp ups for other model (Air and Gravity) so they don't see the mid-size being different and cause the company to miss projected earnings.

CFRA upgraded Lucid from a strong sell to sell (Feb 2025). They are concerned that cash burn will require further dilution when more stock is released to the Saudi wealth funds.

I don't know about you but these seem to be valid concerns. Enough to justify a $1 stock price? I don't know. I guess we will find out between now and 2027.
 
Batteryman said:

Benchmark gives a $5 price target, John Murphy of BOA and Garrett Nelson of CFRA can go stuff it......
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"Benchmark’s analysis suggests that Lucid is entering a new phase with a focus on expanding its scale and enhancing cost efficiencies. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 35.71% over the last twelve months, though InvestingPro data indicates challenges with gross profit margins. This strategic shift comes in anticipation of the company’s upcoming midsize vehicle, which is expected to begin its standard operating procedure (SOP) in late 2026. The firm’s goals for the year include increasing sales, improving manufacturing efficiencies, and boosting brand awareness.

Looking further ahead, analysts at Benchmark believe that Lucid’s profitability will be significantly bolstered by the introduction of a lower-cost midsize platform, priced below $50,000, and through potential technology licensing agreements. Lucid has indicated ongoing discussions with several original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) regarding such agreements, which could further enhance the company’s revenue streams and market position."
 
Pragmatic said:
Analysts have different methods of evaluating stocks and different opinions of company viability. Reading their reasoning is much more important than the values they assign to a stock. While we may not give as much weight to their reasons for price downgrades as they do, we can not deny their negative reasonings are based real concerns.

BoA is concerned that Peter's leaving may cause other members of the team to leave.

Redburn Atlantic is concerned that profitability is dependent on a quick ramp up of the mid-sized SUV in 2H2026. They have not seen quick ramp ups for other model (Air and Gravity) so they don't see the mid-size being different and cause the company to miss projected earnings.

CFRA upgraded Lucid from a strong sell to sell (Feb 2025). They are concerned that cash burn will require further dilution when more stock is released to the Saudi wealth funds.

I don't know about you but these seem to be valid concerns. Enough to justify a $1 stock price? I don't know. I guess we will find out between now and 2027.
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Precisely this. Analysts are only worth as much as their analysis. The analysis is what matters, and it's very important to remember that it is just a guess. Nobody can predict the future.

Sometimes, analysts gang up and create a situation, simply by driving the market. It's rare, but it happens.

That analysts seem fairly split on Lucid, in terms of reasoning, is a good indicator that nobody has any idea whatsoever what the future holds, and everybody is just guessing.
 
Pragmatic said:
Analysts have different methods of evaluating stocks and different opinions of company viability. Reading their reasoning is much more important than the values they assign to a stock. While we may not give as much weight to their reasons for price downgrades as they do, we can not deny their negative reasonings are based real concerns.

BoA is concerned that Peter's leaving may cause other members of the team to leave.

Redburn Atlantic is concerned that profitability is dependent on a quick ramp up of the mid-sized SUV in 2H2026. They have not seen quick ramp ups for other model (Air and Gravity) so they don't see the mid-size being different and cause the company to miss projected earnings.

CFRA upgraded Lucid from a strong sell to sell (Feb 2025). They are concerned that cash burn will require further dilution when more stock is released to the Saudi wealth funds.

I don't know about you but these seem to be valid concerns. Enough to justify a $1 stock price? I don't know. I guess we will find out between now and 2027.
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Yeah, prophesizing - "executives may leave" is not signs of a truthful analyst. Its pure manipulative...I'm sorry- valuing a company at 2.4 billion when it has double that amount in cash, factories, patents, EV tech, sales doubling is ludicrous. Just bringing up some lousy reason to tank the stock.

A meteor may hit the factory in 2025- I value the stock at ZERO....
 
I don't know. But I'm sure there are key people recruited by Peter or wanting to work with Peter who would now be more open to offers from other firms. People generally don't like chaos. Recruiters know this. Will they leave? Who knows, it's part of that analysts job to point out possible future events. An investors job is to take these prognostications and either believe they may impact projected revenue/profits (mid-size vehicle may not make 2H2026 delivery numbers) or not (key personnel will be harder to retain/recruit).
I don't believe all the hype or dread being thrown about. I do appreciate them raising issues I may have not considered. There is a buyer for every seller of securities being traded. For everyone buying because the stock has great potential when it's under 2.26 there is a seller glad to get out because it's 2.25.
If a negative (or positive) analyst is wrong the savvy investor (who can see the errors) will make money.
 
Pragmatic said:
I don't know. But I'm sure there are key people recruited by Peter or wanting to work with Peter who would now be more open to offers from other firms. People generally don't like chaos. Recruiters know this. Will they leave? Who knows, it's part of that analysts job to point out possible future events. An investors job is to take these prognostications and either believe they may impact projected revenue/profits (mid-size vehicle may not make 2H2026 delivery numbers) or not (key personnel will be harder to retain/recruit).
I don't believe all the hype or dread being thrown about. I do appreciate them raising issues I may have not considered. There is a buyer for every seller of securities being traded. For everyone buying because the stock has great potential when it's under 2.26 there is a seller glad to get out because it's 2.25.
If a negative (or positive) analyst is wrong the savvy investor (who can see the errors) will make money.
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Yup. That's the way to think about it. Reacting emotionally to every new analyst report is precisely the wrong way to think about it.
 
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