Lease Gravity

It was over a year after the Air release before the lease deals started to get better. It is still way too early since they are still just ramping up production. Once all the reservation holders are taken care of and production ramps up, there will be a shift towards excess supply/inventory and THAT is when the deals will start to creep in.

I don't think there will be any deals until next year. The GT and Dream Edition are too expensive for volume sales. I suspect the deals will start after they ramp the Touring
Gravity has already been in production half a year. lol.
If there are deals this year either Lucid is in big trouble or they somehow ramp to the planned production rate.
 
As a few of us seem to be on the verge of taking delivery, I wonder if anyone can report the residual in the lease agreement they're about to sign?
 
Even a $140K EQS SUV can be leased for around $1100. I get the premium but it’s a pretty big one
I have a 2023 EQS 580 SUV with an MSRP closer to 145k. I did a sign and drive so 35 payments on a 36 month lease 12k / year for $1,142 / month. I leased and registered in NJ before sales tax on EVs.
 
Just read Lucid's fine print about lease-end options:
"Please note: Purchase option not available in the following states IA, IN, KS, LA, ME, RI."
er, wtf? This is definitely not due to state law in Maine, so must be Lucid's own restriction. Reason?
 
Just read Lucid's fine print about lease-end options:
"Please note: Purchase option not available in the following states IA, IN, KS, LA, ME, RI."
er, wtf? This is definitely not due to state law in Maine, so must be Lucid's own restriction. Reason?
They may not have a dealer’s license in those states? Not sure.
 
They may not have a dealer’s license in those states? Not sure.
There's been a lot of discussion about lease returns for Airs, and how frustrated people are with Bank of America. If BofA (or some other bank now) is the owner of the leased vehicles, perhaps the end-of-lease is more about the Bank's legal status in the state than Lucid's? Just wildly speculating, I know basically nothing about the legal landscape for vehicle leasing.
 
I am new to this leasing thing, but doesn't the assumed residual value loom large? Larger than the interest rate over a 3-year term?

It sure seems like electric cars depreciate dramatically, and that goes double for high-priced launch-edition cars. FWIW, my 20-month-old 2023 MSLR has lost over a third of its purchase price, even with only 7,000 miles on the odometer. I reckon my 2023 AT has lost over 50% of its purchase price in 2 years.

So, an assumed 50% residual value for a Dream Edition Gravity after 3 years seems optimistic to me. If the real value is 40%, that makes leasing more attractive, right?
 
I am new to this leasing thing, but doesn't the assumed residual value loom large? Larger than the interest rate over a 3-year term?

It sure seems like electric cars depreciate dramatically, and that goes double for high-priced launch-edition cars. FWIW, my 20-month-old 2023 MSLR has lost over a third of its purchase price, even with only 7,000 miles on the odometer. I reckon my 2023 AT has lost over 50% of its purchase price in 2 years.

So, an assumed 50% residual value for a Dream Edition Gravity after 3 years seems optimistic to me. If the real value is 40%, that makes leasing more attractive, right?

I asked my SA about residual value and he doesn’t know it.

Pretty sure it’s something one knows before setting lease price. This isn’t a mystery, it’s math…
 
I asked my SA about residual value and he doesn’t know it.

Pretty sure it’s something one knows before setting lease price. This isn’t a mystery, it’s math…
If you know the interest rate, you can back out the assumed residual value. If you know the assumed residual value, you can back out the interest rate.

The interesting question is how the assumed residual value relates to the actual residual value.
 
If you know the interest rate, you can back out the assumed residual value. If you know the assumed residual value, you can back out the interest rate.

The interesting question is how the assumed residual value relates to the actual residual value.
If you have monthly payment quotes for two different down payments you can back out both.

Here are the formulas:
residual = (term*(monthly_payment_a*net_cap_cost_b - monthly_payment_b*net_cap_cost_a))/(2*net_cap_cost_a - 2*net_cap_cost_b - monthly_payment_a*term + monthly_payment_b*term)
money_factor = (net_cap_cost_b - net_cap_cost_a + monthly_payment_a*term - monthly_payment_b*term)/(net_cap_cost_a*term - net_cap_cost_b*term)
apr = money_factor*2400

I calculated 8% APR and 56% residual for the Dream Edition.
 
If you have monthly payment quotes for two different down payments you can back out both.

I calculated 8% APR and 56% residual for the Dream Edition.
Makes sense.
But are there other combinations of interest rates and residuals that generate the same monthly payment? Off the top of my head, 0% and a (net purchase price-residual value) equal to the sum of the payments?
 
Makes sense.
But are there other combinations of interest rates and residuals that generate the same monthly payment? Off the top of my head, 0% and a (net purchase price-residual value) equal to the sum of the payments?
There are infinite number of combinations of interest rates and residuals that generate the same monthly payment. But if you have two monthly payments and down payment quotes and assume that they both use the same interest rate and residual then there there is only one possible interest rate and residual.
 
There are infinite number of combinations of interest rates and residuals that generate the same monthly payment. But if you have two monthly payments and down payment quotes and assume that they both use the same interest rate and residual then there there is only one possible interest rate and residual.
Got it, thanks!
So if my (opportunity) cost of credit is (say) 4% for 3 years, I can back out an implied residual value from the lease payments. If that residual value is higher than I think it should be (56% seems very high to me), I'd prefer to lease. If it's lower, I'd prefer to purchase.
Easy peasy.
 
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