Speculation Lucid stock to $10 in 2026

Doesn't seem like any analysts think they're achieving their guidance of 18k-20k, so don't think them not meeting that should drive any changes in stock price.

Air deliveries at the beginning of this year are probably the max you can expect for that car, so don't think it should be too hard to deduce how many of their vehicles are gravity.

Assuming you're not talking about the EV Escalade, which is notably more expensive than the gravity. Would expect their touring model releasing this year would be fairly competitive on price among its comp set. Escalade provides more reliable software and better service network, though don't think meaningfully better in audio or driver assistance.

Lucid needs to build out their service network, but don't think it makes sense for them to do that at current production levels.
Lucid does still struggle with brand recognition. While I don't think it's likely Air sales will double, I do think that both their increased marketing and the awareness generated by the Gravity will help with awareness of the Air as a luxury sedan alternative people will consider. How the political environment and loss of EV subsidies will drag against that is hard to predict. I wouldn't be shocked to see a modest increase in Air sales volume.
 
I believe they have the ability to move 1K airs and 1K Gravities per month in Q4, so that will get them to 16K deliveries, which is low but going in the right direction.
 
to your point, i dont think they are wasting their money per se. But if the sound system isnt correctly adjusted for the acoustics of the car, its not a great experience no matter how good the hardware. But like you said, high end hardware can help mitigate some of those issues thru masking, balance, adding tweeters, etc.. But its not a guaranteed outcome.

likewise i have heard a well compensated/adjusted sound system that is very cheap in comparison to high end hardware to sound better by acoustic measurements(read: not necessarily by hearing, which is completely subjective).
Yes engineering is important but what they added into the gravity is what they left out of the air; the low end bass…it’s just like the heat pump, they tried to get by without and I bet they change the stereo in the air to accommodate at some point. They did it to cut weight off the car, the drivers are paper thin, and magnets are so small, it’s just not representative of quality components. Companies like focal, klipsch, Marantz, MB Quartz (heck, B&O will build a section of your house around their speakers!) these companies have been doing this for years, Lucid didn’t walk in and redefine the sound stage, yes the can do more with less in the design than what they are working with; but imagine how much better it would be with quality parts….
 
There have now been many hundreds of Gravities delivered…not sure what you're talking about. Also, there are several audiophiles on this Board who are among those and are very impressed with the sound system…
Hundreds, wow…don’t I look stupid
 
well I'm sure the 10 people who've gotten their deliveries of the Gravity love the sound system. I guess all these other OEM's are wasting their money with high end components and large magnets for the drivers in their stereos.
If you believe that only 10 Gravities have been delivered, then you should definitely short the stock.
 
N
Hundreds, wow…don’t I look stupid
It’s more likely “thousands,” but I don’t like to post false information so I erred on the side of caution in my post. You’re not stupid at all, just demonstrably not factually correct in that post.
 
I believe they have the ability to move 1K airs and 1K Gravities per month in Q4, so that will get them to 16K deliveries, which is low but going in the right direction.
Lucid has 4x Gravity capacity compared to Air. I agree with your Air numbers but think Lucid can only ramp so fast so will do about 2k per month of Gravity. This would put them at the low end of their guidance.
 
Lucid has 4x Gravity capacity compared to Air. I agree with your Air numbers but think Lucid can only ramp so fast so will do about 2k per month of Gravity. This would put them at the low end of their guidance.
it's definitely gonna be at least 9
 
Lucid has 4x Gravity capacity compared to Air. I agree with your Air numbers but think Lucid can only ramp so fast so will do about 2k per month of Gravity. This would put them at the low end of their guidance.
I agree, but without touring released those Gravity numbers are capped.
 
Lucid has set ambitious goals in what anyone would call a challenging market. Every automaker globally is facing headwinds today, but Lucid has strong products and a growing reputation as a technology and performance leader in its market segment. Strong Saudi backing all but guarantees the company's ability to weather its growing pains. It is more important for Lucid to ship Good products than Many products. It encourages me that management embraces that philosophy.
Now, for the common individual investor, one who checks each of their holding's share price on a daily basis, LCID is unlikely to be a good choice. Though somewhat stabilized, LCID is still floating on speculative waves unmoored from any tangible value. Lucid Motors is a startup building a global manufacturing, service, and support business during a period of global trade turmoil. We are likely not to know what LCID shares are "worth" before the end of this decade, and maybe not then. There will be good days and bad days, and several more rounds of funding. That is today and always has been the reality. I hold shares today, but only an amount I can afford to lose. Pulling share price forecasts out of thin air is an act of futility at best, especially given the controlling number of shares that never trade.
 
Lucid has set ambitious goals in what anyone would call a challenging market. Every automaker globally is facing headwinds today, but Lucid has strong products and a growing reputation as a technology and performance leader in its market segment. Strong Saudi backing all but guarantees the company's ability to weather its growing pains. It is more important for Lucid to ship Good products than Many products. It encourages me that management embraces that philosophy.
Now, for the common individual investor, one who checks each of their holding's share price on a daily basis, LCID is unlikely to be a good choice. Though somewhat stabilized, LCID is still floating on speculative waves unmoored from any tangible value. Lucid Motors is a startup building a global manufacturing, service, and support business during a period of global trade turmoil. We are likely not to know what LCID shares are "worth" before the end of this decade, and maybe not then. There will be good days and bad days, and several more rounds of funding. That is today and always has been the reality. I hold shares today, but only an amount I can afford to lose. Pulling share price forecasts out of thin air is an act of futility at best, especially given the controlling number of shares that never trade.
public markets demand targets are achieved, not overly ambitious, Lucid has yet to hit a target they have set. this is yet another reason they did a 10:1 reverse split because they were about to loose their NASDAQ listing. Is the PIF backing them bc they believe it's a good investment, or they see it as a win win either way? If they fail the PIF acquires all assets for pennies on the dollar.

Look all of this aside, the software is far from where they said it would be or where it even needs to be for a viable product in the market place. Service is the next obstacle which requires even more CapEx, and all of this is compounded by their inability to move units...yes they are 90% YoY but from what? A few hundred? I'd rather be a pessimist than a hopeful optimist.
 
Lucid has set ambitious goals in what anyone would call a challenging market. Every automaker globally is facing headwinds today, but Lucid has strong products and a growing reputation as a technology and performance leader in its market segment. Strong Saudi backing all but guarantees the company's ability to weather its growing pains. It is more important for Lucid to ship Good products than Many products. It encourages me that management embraces that philosophy.
Now, for the common individual investor, one who checks each of their holding's share price on a daily basis, LCID is unlikely to be a good choice. Though somewhat stabilized, LCID is still floating on speculative waves unmoored from any tangible value. Lucid Motors is a startup building a global manufacturing, service, and support business during a period of global trade turmoil. We are likely not to know what LCID shares are "worth" before the end of this decade, and maybe not then. There will be good days and bad days, and several more rounds of funding. That is today and always has been the reality. I hold shares today, but only an amount I can afford to lose. Pulling share price forecasts out of thin air is an act of futility at best, especially given the controlling number of shares that never trade.
I LOVED YOUR POST!!! I agree completely. American investors have largely forgotten the concept of long-term investing. Long term is not one year (or even five years when you are building a brand new brand / company). They become excited about Amazon, Tesla, Uber (and hopefully Lucid) only AFTER they have become significantly profitable. It's why the Japanese, Chinese, Koreans and (now likely) the Saudis are capable of entering new markets and dominating...because they very patiently invest huge sums of money to build good companies and brands and don't worry about short term cash burn / profits as long as the products and brands being developed are good.
 
public markets demand targets are achieved, not overly ambitious, Lucid has yet to hit a target they have set. this is yet another reason they did a 10:1 reverse split because they were about to loose their NASDAQ listing. Is the PIF backing them bc they believe it's a good investment, or they see it as a win win either way? If they fail the PIF acquires all assets for pennies on the dollar.

Look all of this aside, the software is far from where they said it would be or where it even needs to be for a viable product in the market place. Service is the next obstacle which requires even more CapEx, and all of this is compounded by their inability to move units...yes they are 90% YoY but from what? A few hundred? I'd rather be a pessimist than a hopeful optimist.
They were nowhere near losing their NASDAQ listing, The lowest the stock went to was $16 ($1.60) and it's gone but up into the $20's ever since. To be delisted you must fall under $1 and be under it for 30 days straight.
 
... Is the PIF backing them bc they believe it's a good investment, or they see it as a win win either way? If they fail the PIF acquires all assets for pennies on the dollar.

...
I think it's absurd to believe that the Saudis think their investment pays off even if the company fails and they're able to pick up the remaining shares for pennies on the dollar.
 
They were nowhere near losing their NASDAQ listing, The lowest the stock went to was $16 ($1.60) and it's gone but up into the $20's ever since. To be delisted you must fall under $1 and be under it for 30 days straight.
That is straight false, I work in these markets you are wrong they were on probation with their stock price...

Nasdaq TierKey thresholds / criteria (one of several standards)
Nasdaq Global Market / Global Select• Minimum bid price of $4.00 per share at listing. Listing Center+4Baker McKenzie Resource Hub+4Listing Center+4
 
I think it's absurd to believe that the Saudis think their investment pays off even if the company fails and they're able to pick up the remaining shares for pennies on the dollar.
not shares, physical assets
 
I think it's absurd to believe that the Saudis think their investment pays off even if the company fails and they're able to pick up the remaining shares for pennies on the dollar.
It amazes me that people think this is big money for Saudi PIF to be losing. The investment they’ve made in Lucid is probably like $10 to the rest of us, it’s nothing.

If they want to recoup their current loss on Lucid investment they simply need to increase the price of oil by an extra $2 a barrel and will probably have the money back by days end. 😂
 
not shares, physical assets
Okay. You're technically correct, in that buying the assets at bankruptcy would allow them to walk away from any liabilities. But it doesn't change my point. You don't put billions into an auto maker and view it as a win to buy the assets on the cheap after it fails.
 
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