2026 Air changeover date

[JoshG]

@Pragmatic was 100% correct. Turns out they're deliberately limiting any search results for inventory cars to 72 total as a maximum. (I have no idea if that's a technical limit on the way they implemented the infinite-scroll web page structure, or for marketing reasons).

How do i know for sure that they're limiting the display to 72?

Search with no filters for all available cars, you'll get 72. 4 are DD Pro as of right now, 68 are DD Premium.
Search with a filter for DreamDrive Pro: you'll see 4 as of when i'm posting this.
BUT - Search with a filter for DreamDrive Premium. I of course expected to get 68, but I actually got 72! All distinct VINs, all showing these cars DO have DreamDrive Premium and not Pro.

So there are more cars in inventory than are shown when you do a search on the website.

Let's go figure out HOW MANY real cars are available. Should be simple if I filter by some options and count 'em up, and assuming no one option i pick comes back with the max of 72 cars, then the total of the chosen breakout should be the real number of cars available.

As of the time of this posting:

By Appearence:
- Stealth: 41
- Platinum: 44
= 85 cars available

- SurrealSound: 47
- SurrealSound Pro: 38
= 85 cars available

By Trim:
- Pure: 26
- Touring: 51
- Grand Touring: 8
= 85 cars available

Let's try with colors:
- Stellar White: 15
- Infinite Black: 17
- Zenith Red: 13
- Cosmos Silver: 10
- Quantum Gray: 14
- Fathom Blue: 16
= 85 cars available

So all seems to confirm there are actually 85 2025 cars available.

But one last oddity... searching by roof type does not agree with the other breakouts:
- 57 aluminum roof
- 34 glass roof
= 92 cars available

Can't explain that last one, but there definitely are either 85 model year 2025 cars available or maybe 92. Regardless, i now know i can't go by the "cleared filters" total number shown. That will always be <= 72 cars.

 

[JoshG]

New 2025s with DD Pro are appearing every day now. 12 available on the site today.

Been interesting to watch the numbers. 11 new 2025s added to "inventory" pages since just yesterday afternoon, with 6 cars removed (presumably = sold) from those pages in same 12 hours.

Looks to me like there's around 12 or so sales of cars from inventory per day, but i've been monitoring it for too short a time to really gather a trend. Obviously this doesn't count custom-spec orders, only those from Lucid's inventory.

But they're still cranking out 2025s... adding 15-20 to the site per day lately.

I find it all very encouraging, personally. Still plenty of sales and production on Lucid Airs taking place, relatively speaking.

Was tempted by a new '25 ZR Touring with DD Pro, Metal Roof and range wheels that appeared today, (close to my ideal spec) but was hoping for one with SS Pro too and this one doesn't have that. Will wait... either for a great deal on a '25 that has my spec, or as time goes on may decide to just wait to see what happens with '26s.

Not enough data yet to make this next chart very helpful, but lately they've been net adding more Touring. The static numbers for Pure just mean the net hasn't changed... some cars have sold but also had similar spec cars added to inventory. GTs on the other hand have remained static... the same 9 cars have been on the site for the last few days. What I really am trying to do with this chart is just start to detect them winding down 2025 production in preparation for announcing availability and any changes for 2026. So the most important number is that topline number (89 2025s shown in inventory today).

 

[L-Dude]

There hasn't been a new batch of AGTs for a while now.

 

[JoshG]

So far, no indication they're trying to reduce inventory of 2025 models in preparation for 2026s. Levels remain pretty consistent in mid 80s for total 2025 Lucid Airs. Lots of churn... many being sold each day and many more coming in as available from factory.

 

[L-Dude]

So far, no indication they're trying to reduce inventory of 2025 models in preparation for 2026s. Levels remain pretty consistent in mid 80s for total 2025 Lucid Airs. Lots of churn... many being sold each day and many more coming in as available from factory.

View attachment 30079

You sir are what every nerd aspires to be! Very impressive!

 

[borski]

You sir are what every nerd aspires to be! Very impressive!

indeed! thanks for the tracking @JoshG

 

[LucidfanAZ]

@JoshG thanks for tracking this! Is there anyway you can program to track the net inventory change to help us estimate total sales per period?

 

[eurekaboo]

When I increase the search criteria (distance=10000&requestedVehiclesNum=1000), I get a total of 119 new vehicles currently available in the United States, all model year 2025.

{
  "Air Grand Touring": 17,
  "Air Pure": 27,
  "Air Touring": 75
}

{
  "DreamDrive™ Premium": 106,
  "DreamDrive™ Pro": 13
}

{
  "Cosmos Silver Metallic": 13,
  "Fathom Blue Metallic": 18,
  "Infinite Black Metallic": 22,
  "Quantum Grey Metallic": 19,
  "Stellar White Metallic": 25,
  "Zenith Red Metallic": 22
}

 

[JoshG]

@JoshG thanks for tracking this! Is there anyway you can program to track the net inventory change to help us estimate total sales per period?

absolutely... i get this, just don't think many people here want to see all the nitty gritty:

Here's an example of what i pull. The "new" and "removed" lists are comparing from the last time I ran the script, whenever that was... so it can be a big list if i run it with several days between the last time i ran it, or a small list if i ran it an hour or 2 previously.

So... yes, if the "REMOVED" list is accurately reflecting cars that sold, then it would be easy to calculate the rate at which they're selling cars and then extrapolate that to a month or year or whatever you want.

BUT, it won't be an accurate corporate sales prediction for 2 reasons:

• this would ONLY count INVENTORY cars that sold, not custom ordered cars that never get listed on their public inventory pages that I'm scraping... therefore, any stats you or I would take from my little scraping project would be quite misleading.
• Any car that was newly LISTED, and then bought in between the 2 times I ran the script would also not get captured. And I've seen this happen a LOT... people wait for a certain config and buy it quickly when it appears.

So that's why we can really just use this to track when they start shutting down 2025's, and just general directional idea of current sales levels, but not to infer full production/sales numbers

 

[JoshG]

FYI, i could minimize the effect of the 2nd bullet by CRON'ing my script to just run unattended every 5 minutes or so, but I don't want to keep hitting their servers with this type of bot.

While it would still likely be minimal in terms of overall traffic to their sites, I'm just against that type of thing. By making it a manual process, or limiting it to 1x or 2x per day, I can justify that it's the same amount of traffic and server resources responding to me as if I just manually went to that page and pulled it up on my own once a day, like i used to do.

 

[JoshG]

Hmmmm... BIG increase in the number of Air Touring's they're producing right now. Must be a lot of demand for that trim (makes sense to me as it seems the value choice right now).

They're definitely slowing or stopping Pure and Grand Touring and cranking out Tourings.

And... definitely no sign of trying to draw down '25 available inventory in preparation for 2026 production/launch.

 

[DeaneG]

Hmmmm... BIG increase in the number of Air Touring's they're producing right now. Must be a lot of demand for that trim (makes sense to me as it seems the value choice right now).
They're definitely slowing or stopping Pure and Grand Touring and cranking out Tourings.
And... definitely no sign of trying to draw down '25 available inventory in preparation for 2026 production/launch.

Very interesting, thanks for the info. The sweet spot of the market sure is clear.

 

[JoshG]

Well, SOMETHING's up, I just don't know what.
Last night, Lucid RAISED the price of all remaining 2025 Air Pure cars in inventory by a whopping $5,000! That's a very strange move when the activity level on Pure inventory cars has been incredibly slow compared to Touring, but maybe just reflects that they're down to the last 4 Pure cars available for the year and decided to see if they could get some more money from these since there are now few to choose from. But it sure seems to make the relative argument that the Touring is now an even better deal for the money.

Maybe they're offering new incentives in July, but they're trying to negate the actual effect of those incentives on the few remaining 2025 Pure models. Not sure how to feel about this.

And at the same time, they DROPPED the price of the few remaining 2025 Grand Touring's by $2000-$3000. So they seemed determine to make those last few 2025 GTs more appealing.

Since I don't yet know how the July incentives differed from June's impressive set of Air incentives, it's hard to determine the net effect of these price changes on what buyers right now will ultimately pay.

Overall, they seem to still be cranking out 2025 Touring cars, with no price changes there. They added 26NEW 2025 Touring cars to inventory in last 24 hours and sold 22 other touring, so net gain of 4 Touring available now in stock.

 

[LucidfanAZ]

The price of the Pure going up is likely due to tariff related impacts. Mark did say back in May that after June 30th, they would see a 8%-15% impact in costs. They’ve also substantially reduced the amount of credits available across the board.

 

[marsarbu]

Tariffs + elimination of the $7,500 fed credit ... not great news. We're going back to the 1800s.

 

[RMSko]

Tariffs + elimination of the $7,500 fed credit ... not great news. We're going back to the 1800s.

Anyone in the market should lease the Lucid before the end of September. After that, the cost will increase by $7,500 due to the loss of the tax credit.