- Joined
- Mar 12, 2023
- Messages
- 67
- Reaction score
- 57
- Location
- Pittsburgh PA
- Cars
- 93 MB500e 08 BMW528i 6M,
- Referral Code
- IFPZ58QP
It is with a degree of sadness to say that I have sold (traded) my '23 Air Touring, delivered in March of 2023.
Stunning car, as you all know. Ok, slow key fob recognition and some other SMALL annoyances . . . but IMHO, well worth the admission to have such a superb vehicle.
The main drivers for this decision were around depreciation, fear of continued depreciation in this space (Lucid specifically, but luxury EV's in general) AND the likelihood of next gen batteries being a leap step in terms of 1) making EV's much more competitive to ICE vehicles for cost, range and charging times and 2) the further depreciation that will occur as new EV's rollout with greatly improved battery tech. So getting out of my car while it still has ~ 50% of it's value after 2.5 years and 10K on the odo. Someone will be getting a REALLY nice car at a very reasonable cost.
Did I know that a ~ $100K luxury vehicle would have high depreciation ? Of course. But honestly I expected at this point maybe to be at 65% retention (vs. 50%) and optimism that depreciation would slow significantly after 3 years. Yes, of course it will have slowed (otherwise in 3 more years it would be worth $0 and we all know that will not be the case). But I suspect that it will lose another $20 - $25K over the next 2-3 years.
When I took delivery the EV world was in a VERY different place - all the BIG guys (Ford, VW, MB BMW) investing like Crazy. They have since scaled back significantly. Lucid has not come anywhere near it's sales goals, and subsequently, I think that hurts them terribly - as most buyers are still afraid to buy from a small/unknown company with concerns of having the parent company go bankrupt. Or still be in a position where the nearest service center is 200-300 miles away or more. In late 2022, I honestly thought buying an EV was protecting me from the depreciation I might have seen had I gone out and purchased a similarly priced MB, BMW, or Audi - as I thought 5 to years into the future (2028-2031) that ICE vehicles would be really out of favor and the supply/demand equation would CRUSH their value. That might (likely will) still happen - although I think it will take much more time and the require the aforementioned battery tech to really get EV sales competitive with ICE. Of course the loss of Government incentives has only made it that much harder for manufacturers to keep MSRP down, and accelerate EV supply numbers. I do feel bad for the traditional ICE car makers as they know EV's are the inevitable future of transportation, but they have to walk a tightrope of making cars that people desire (both functionality and affordability) and making a good profit for their shareholders.
So until next gen battery tech is out and proven, costs come down a bit, and I can buy THAT vehicle after it is 2 or 3 years old, I'm going to sit on the sidelines. That said, I am wholeheartedly rooting for EV's and really hope my next vehicle is a Gravity mid cycle update (with SS batteries) or Lucid mid size EV (again with SS batteries) that I can buy used for $40K or less.
Curious how you all feel about these points and if any others have decided to sell their Lucid out of similar concerns and logic.
Stunning car, as you all know. Ok, slow key fob recognition and some other SMALL annoyances . . . but IMHO, well worth the admission to have such a superb vehicle.
The main drivers for this decision were around depreciation, fear of continued depreciation in this space (Lucid specifically, but luxury EV's in general) AND the likelihood of next gen batteries being a leap step in terms of 1) making EV's much more competitive to ICE vehicles for cost, range and charging times and 2) the further depreciation that will occur as new EV's rollout with greatly improved battery tech. So getting out of my car while it still has ~ 50% of it's value after 2.5 years and 10K on the odo. Someone will be getting a REALLY nice car at a very reasonable cost.
Did I know that a ~ $100K luxury vehicle would have high depreciation ? Of course. But honestly I expected at this point maybe to be at 65% retention (vs. 50%) and optimism that depreciation would slow significantly after 3 years. Yes, of course it will have slowed (otherwise in 3 more years it would be worth $0 and we all know that will not be the case). But I suspect that it will lose another $20 - $25K over the next 2-3 years.
When I took delivery the EV world was in a VERY different place - all the BIG guys (Ford, VW, MB BMW) investing like Crazy. They have since scaled back significantly. Lucid has not come anywhere near it's sales goals, and subsequently, I think that hurts them terribly - as most buyers are still afraid to buy from a small/unknown company with concerns of having the parent company go bankrupt. Or still be in a position where the nearest service center is 200-300 miles away or more. In late 2022, I honestly thought buying an EV was protecting me from the depreciation I might have seen had I gone out and purchased a similarly priced MB, BMW, or Audi - as I thought 5 to years into the future (2028-2031) that ICE vehicles would be really out of favor and the supply/demand equation would CRUSH their value. That might (likely will) still happen - although I think it will take much more time and the require the aforementioned battery tech to really get EV sales competitive with ICE. Of course the loss of Government incentives has only made it that much harder for manufacturers to keep MSRP down, and accelerate EV supply numbers. I do feel bad for the traditional ICE car makers as they know EV's are the inevitable future of transportation, but they have to walk a tightrope of making cars that people desire (both functionality and affordability) and making a good profit for their shareholders.
So until next gen battery tech is out and proven, costs come down a bit, and I can buy THAT vehicle after it is 2 or 3 years old, I'm going to sit on the sidelines. That said, I am wholeheartedly rooting for EV's and really hope my next vehicle is a Gravity mid cycle update (with SS batteries) or Lucid mid size EV (again with SS batteries) that I can buy used for $40K or less.
Curious how you all feel about these points and if any others have decided to sell their Lucid out of similar concerns and logic.




